Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Osaka - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Kimberly Birrell		Mai Hontama

	1	2
			Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.37	3.17
	1.41	2.83	Watch
	1.36	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.68)	2.97 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kimberly Birrell
68.3%

Mai Hontama
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimberly Birrell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kimberly Birrell's performance.

Mai Hontama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mai Hontama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberly Birrell than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kimberly Birrell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mai Hontama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Kimberly Birrell - Mai Hontama Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Birrell will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Hontama will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Birrell is ranked WTA: 89. Hontama is ranked WTA: 219.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Hontama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Birrell might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Birrell won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mai Hontama - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.21%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kimberly Birrell
WTA Wuhan
05.10.25	Kimberly Birrell - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Suzan Lamens - Kimberly Birrell	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Kyoka Okamura - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Kimberly Birrell - Polina Kudermetova	Canceled ✺
WTA Beijing
23.09.25	Anastasija Sevastova - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWL?L
- Mai Hontama
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Elena Pridankina - Mai Hontama	2:1 ✺
WTA Seoul
13.09.25	Mai Hontama - Ella Seidel	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Mai Hontama - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Mai Hontama - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Mai Hontama - Meiling Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.04.24	Mai Hontama - Kimberly Birrell	2:1
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Mai Hontama - Kimberly Birrell	2:1
ITF Tournaments
07.10.22	Kimberly Birrell - Mai Hontama	2:0
07.07.22	Kimberly Birrell - Mai Hontama	Hontama M. retired

Kimberly Birrell - Mai Hontama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide