Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2024, Monday


	Kimmer Coppejans		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.13	1.74
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.19	1.62	Watch
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.73)	1.71 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kimmer Coppejans
45.6%

Vilius Gaubas
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimmer Coppejans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kimmer Coppejans's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimmer Coppejans than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kimmer Coppejans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Kimmer Coppejans - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Coppejans will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Gaubas will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coppejans: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Coppejans is ranked ATP: 516. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 187.

Coppejans in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Gaubas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Coppejans to win the game is with odds 1.84.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kimmer Coppejans
ITF Tournaments
10.11.24	Altug Celikbilek - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Andrea Paolini	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Hugo Pierre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
12.11.24	Federico Coria - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Vilius Gaubas - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
06.11.24	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.11.24	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Vilius Gaubas - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

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