Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Braga 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Elmer Moller		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	2	1.7
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	2.06	1.74
	2.01	1.7	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.03)	1.71 (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
45.9%

Vilius Gaubas
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Elmer Moller - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 181., and Gaubas is ranked ATP: 141..

Moller is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Gaubas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Moller may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Moller has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.28%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Elmer Moller - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Zsombor Piros - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Thiago Monteiro - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Carlos Taberner - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Elmer Moller - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Vilius Gaubas - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
05.10.26	Vilius Gaubas - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.11.24	Vilius Gaubas - Elmer Moller	1:2

Elmer Moller - Vilius Gaubas