Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Vilius Gaubas		Luka Mikrut

	1	2
			Watch
	2.70	1.40
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.83	1.39	Watch
	2.8	1.44
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.56)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
34%

Luka Mikrut
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luka Mikrut, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Vilius Gaubas - Luka Mikrut Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Mikrut will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 141., and Mikrut is ranked ATP: 167..

In recent outings, Gaubas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mikrut is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Gaubas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Mikrut is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Mikrut in today's match, at odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Gaubas has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.16%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Luka Mikrut - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.84%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Vilius Gaubas - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
05.10.26	Vilius Gaubas - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pavel Lagutin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WW?LL
- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Sumit Nagal - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Luka Mikrut - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Lukas Neumayer - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Mikrut	0:2

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