Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday


	Koki Matsuda		Jake Delaney

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.08	1.76
	2.02	1.7	Watch
	2.03	1.72
	2.01	1.7	Watch
	2.01	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	1.72 (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Matsuda
46%

Jake Delaney
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Jake Delaney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jake Delaney, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Koki Matsuda - Jake Delaney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 483. Delaney is ranked ATP: 365.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Delaney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
30.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Fanming Meng	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Yaojie Zeng	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Chen Hui Ho	0:2
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 W?LLL
- Jake Delaney
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Jake Delaney - Hyeon Chung	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Moerani Bouzige - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Scott Jones - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Jeremy Zhang - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Joshua Charlton - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW

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