Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday


	Koki Matsuda		Hayato Matsuoka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.44
	2.8	1.39	Watch
	3.02	1.4
	2.95	1.35
	2.95	1.39
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	2.8	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.36)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Koki Matsuda
32.7%

Hayato Matsuoka
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Koki Matsuda's form might have worsened.

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hayato Matsuoka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Koki Matsuda - Hayato Matsuoka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 478. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 309.

Matsuda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Matsuoka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Matsuda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Matsuoka could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Paul Inchauspe - Koki Matsuda	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Kerem Yilmaz	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWW
- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Hayato Matsuoka - James Kent Trotter	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Guillaume Dalmasso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW

Koki Matsuda - Hayato Matsuoka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide