Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Koki Matsuda		Kerem Yilmaz

	1	2
	1.35	2.95
	1.32	3.30
	1.38	3.14
	1.35	2.92	Watch
	1.36	3.10
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.34	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	3.07 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Matsuda
69.5%

Kerem Yilmaz
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Kerem Yilmaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koki Matsuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerem Yilmaz than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kerem Yilmaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Koki Matsuda - Kerem Yilmaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Matsuda will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Yilmaz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 478. Yilmaz is ranked ATP: 955.

Matsuda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yilmaz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yilmaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Koki Matsuda - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.56%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Koki Matsuda - Gabriel Debru	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Colin Sinclair - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Karan Singh - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW
- Kerem Yilmaz
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Kerem Yilmaz - Alec Deckers	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Maxim Zhukov - Kerem Yilmaz	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Kerem Yilmaz	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Kerem Yilmaz - S Mert Ozdemir	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Kerem Yilmaz - Elijah Strode	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLLW

Koki Matsuda - Kerem Yilmaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide