Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Koki Matsuda		Maxim Zhukov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.54	1.5
	2.19	1.59	Watch
	2.32	1.57	Watch
	2.03	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.83)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Matsuda
41%

Maxim Zhukov
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Koki Matsuda's form might have worsened.

Maxim Zhukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maxim Zhukov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Zhukov than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxim Zhukov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Koki Matsuda - Maxim Zhukov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 672. Zhukov is ranked ATP: 495.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxim Zhukov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Aoran Wang - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Mikalai Haliak - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.09.25	Koki Matsuda - Keisuke Saitoh	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Koki Matsuda - S D Prajwal Dev	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Koki Matsuda - Michael Zhu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- Maxim Zhukov
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Maxim Zhukov - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Maxim Zhukov - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Brandon Holt - Maxim Zhukov	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Maxim Zhukov - Xiaofei Wang	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Alex Bolt - Maxim Zhukov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW

Koki Matsuda - Maxim Zhukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide