Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 6 October 2025, Monday
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Alex Bolt |
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Maxim Zhukov |
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- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alex Bolt
72.8% | Maxim Zhukov
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Bolt's performance.Maxim Zhukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxim Zhukov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-20.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Bolt that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Zhukov than the current prediction. (+20.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxim Zhukov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Alex Bolt - Maxim Zhukov Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolt (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alex Bolt will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Bolt is ranked ATP: 189. Zhukov is ranked ATP: 506.Bolt is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Zhukov is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).Bolt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Last Results with these Odds
Maxim Zhukov - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Watch
