Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Koki Matsuda		Yusuke Kusuhara

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.09
	2.23	1.59	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.6)	2.02 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Matsuda
53%

Yusuke Kusuhara
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Yusuke Kusuhara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yusuke Kusuhara than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yusuke Kusuhara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Koki Matsuda - Yusuke Kusuhara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kusuhara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Kusuhara (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Kusuhara (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kusuhara (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 608. Kusuhara is ranked ATP: 737.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Matsuda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Matsuda could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Koki Matsuda - Ren Nakamura	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Koki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Koki Matsuda - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Koki Matsuda - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW
- Yusuke Kusuhara
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Gai Ando - Yusuke Kusuhara	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Yusuke Kusuhara - Hikaru Shiraishi	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Yusuke Kusuhara - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.10.25	Sora Fukuda - Yusuke Kusuhara	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Yusuke Kusuhara - Taketo Takamisawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW

Koki Matsuda - Yusuke Kusuhara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide