Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Koki Matsuda		Taiyo Yamanaka

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.50	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.54	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)	2.41 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Matsuda
61.5%

Taiyo Yamanaka
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Taiyo Yamanaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taiyo Yamanaka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Koki Matsuda - Taiyo Yamanaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Matsuda will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Yamanaka will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Matsuda (votes: 1 - 50%). Yamanaka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 653. Yamanaka is ranked ATP: 776.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Yamanaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Matsuda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Koki Matsuda - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Koki Matsuda - Maxim Zhukov	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Aoran Wang - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Mikalai Haliak - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.09.25	Koki Matsuda - Keisuke Saitoh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL
- Taiyo Yamanaka
ATP Challenger
01.11.25	Riku Takahata - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.10.25	Sho Katayama - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Taiyo Yamanaka - Jumpei Yamasaki	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Taiyo Yamanaka	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Taiyo Yamanaka - Egor Agafonov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.10.24	Koki Matsuda - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2

Koki Matsuda - Taiyo Yamanaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide