Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Kassel, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Lasse Poertner		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
	2.23	1.55	Watch
	2.13	1.66
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lasse Poertner
41.4%

Andrey Chepelev
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lasse Poertner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lasse Poertner than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lasse Poertner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lasse Poertner - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poertner is ranked ATP: 914. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 628.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Chepelev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poertner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lasse Poertner
ITF Tournaments
01.07.25	Lasse Poertner - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Lasse Poertner - Alberto Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Lasse Poertner - Enzo Wallart	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Stefano DAgostino - Lasse Poertner	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Enzo Wallart - Lasse Poertner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Paul Barbier Gazeu - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Andrey Chepelev - Benjamin Torrealba	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Andrey Chepelev - Ognjen Milic	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Andrey Chepelev - Josip Simundza	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Andrey Chepelev - Petr Brunclik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.10.24	Andrey Chepelev - Lasse Poertner	0:2

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