Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: COLUMBUS (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday


	Laurent Lokoli		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.12	1.75
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.59	Watch
	2.12	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.96)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laurent Lokoli
43.7%

Alexis Galarneau
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laurent Lokoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Laurent Lokoli - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexis Galarneau will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Lokoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Jack Anthrop - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
07.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Laurent Lokoli - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
31.08.23	Laurent Lokoli - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Laurent Lokoli - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.23	Alexis Galarneau - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Alexis Galarneau - Dominic Stephan Stricker	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Alexis Galarneau - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Alexis Galarneau - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLL

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