Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Laurent Lokoli		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
			Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.54	1.54
	2.51	1.47	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.34)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laurent Lokoli
38.5%

Maks Kasnikowski
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laurent Lokoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Laurent Lokoli - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lokoli is ranked ATP: 435. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 325.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lokoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kasnikowski could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Laurent Lokoli - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Gabriele Piraino - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Matthew Donald - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Jakub Paul - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Carles Cordoba - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Iliyan Radulov - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Yaroslav Demin - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWW

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