Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Jakub Paul		Laurent Lokoli

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.57	1.52
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.53	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.57)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Paul
36.4%

Laurent Lokoli
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jakub Paul - Laurent Lokoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 522. Lokoli is ranked ATP: 441.

Lokoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lokoli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Paul - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.99%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Laurent Lokoli - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Laurent Lokoli - Jakub Paul	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Keegan Smith - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Daniel Jade - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Jakub Paul - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Jakub Paul - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Karlo Kajin	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Laurent Lokoli - Jakub Paul	2:1

Jakub Paul - Laurent Lokoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide