Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Laurent Lokoli		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.48	1.58
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.34	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.39)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laurent Lokoli
39.5%

Lorenzo Giustino
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laurent Lokoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Laurent Lokoli - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lokoli will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Giustino will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lokoli is ranked ATP: 435. Giustino is ranked ATP: 210.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Giustino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Giustino could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lokoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.21%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Gabriele Piraino - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Matthew Donald - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Jakub Paul - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Paul Jubb	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Philip Henning	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Laurent Lokoli	2:0

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