Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tampico, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Lea Ma		Amelia Rajecki

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.7
	1.45	2.8
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.48	2.68	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
65.4%

Amelia Rajecki
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Amelia Rajecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amelia Rajecki than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Lea Ma - Amelia Rajecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 328. Rajecki is ranked WTA: 392.

Ma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rajecki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rajecki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ma will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lea Ma - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
12.10.25	Lea Ma - Francesca Pace	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Lea Ma - Krisha Mahendran	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Lea Ma - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Lea Ma - Ema Burgic	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Lea Ma - Marie Weckerle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- Amelia Rajecki
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Amelia Rajecki - Krisha Mahendran	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Amelia Rajecki - Kolie Allen	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Eryn Cayetano - Amelia Rajecki	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Amelia Rajecki - Usue Maitane Arconada	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Amelia Rajecki - Katherine Sebov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

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