Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Lea Ma		Clervie Ngounoue

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.54	1.50
	2.60	1.48	Watch
	2.61	1.54
	2.56	1.46	Watch
	2.55	1.50
	2.62	1.43	Watch
	2.46	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.45)	1.49 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
37%

Clervie Ngounoue
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Clervie Ngounoue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lea Ma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clervie Ngounoue than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clervie Ngounoue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lea Ma - Clervie Ngounoue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 299. Ngounoue is ranked WTA: 380.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Lea Ma - Savannah Broadus	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Lea Ma - Clervie Ngounoue	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Jo-Yee Chan - Lea Ma	Ma L. Retired ✺
24.06.26	Violeta Martinez - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWW?W
- Clervie Ngounoue
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Lea Ma - Clervie Ngounoue	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Sahaja Yamalapalli - Clervie Ngounoue	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.26	Polina Kudermetova - Clervie Ngounoue	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Clervie Ngounoue	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Iryna Shymanovich - Clervie Ngounoue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Lea Ma - Clervie Ngounoue	2:1
31.07.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Lea Ma	Ma L. walkover

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