Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Rafael, CA, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Lea Ma		Madison Brengle

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.54	1.49
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.56	1.46	Watch
	2.68	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.28)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
35.1%

Madison Brengle
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lea Ma's form might have worsened.

Madison Brengle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madison Brengle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lea Ma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Brengle than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madison Brengle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lea Ma - Madison Brengle Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brengle will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ma (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 334. Brengle is ranked WTA: 738.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Brengle will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Brengle will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Lea Ma - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Lea Ma - Sofia Johnson	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Lea Ma - Victoria Flores	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Lea Ma - Rina Saigo	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Arianne Hartono - Lea Ma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW
- Madison Brengle
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Madison Brengle - Katarina Jokic	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Kayla Day - Madison Brengle	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Madison Brengle - Zuzanna Pawlikowska	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer - Madison Brengle	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Mille Johanna Moerk - Madison Brengle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW

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