Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CANBERRA (AUSTRALIA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 January 2023, Thursday


	Leandro Riedi		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2	1.79
	1.97	1.72
	2.06	1.79
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.75	Watch
	2.05	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.03)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro Riedi
46.8%

Jan-Lennard Struff
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	0%	80.6%

Leandro Riedi - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Riedi in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Struff is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Struff to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
04.01.23	Liam Broady - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
03.01.23	Leandro Riedi - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
01.01.23	Leandro Riedi - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Mikhail Kukushkin - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Challenger
04.01.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
03.01.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
01.01.23	Federico Delbonis - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
24.11.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Fabian Marozsan - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

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