Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.4
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.66)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
30.9%

Leandro Riedi
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leandro Riedi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kukushkin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Riedi will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riedi: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 282. Riedi is ranked ATP: 129.

Recent performances by Kukushkin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Riedi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Riedi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Riedi is a strong favorite.

We predict that Riedi will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kukushkin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Blake Ellis - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Jie Cui - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Daniil Glinka - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLL
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Marat Sharipov - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Leandro Riedi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Liam Broady - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Leandro Riedi	Kotov P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
21.05.24	Leandro Riedi - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2
ATP Challenger
27.11.22	Mikhail Kukushkin - Leandro Riedi	0:2

Mikhail Kukushkin - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide