Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Leandro Riedi		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.45	1.3
	3.4	1.31
	3.56	1.31
	3.4	1.3
	3.54	1.28	Watch
	3.35	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.58)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro Riedi
27.6%

Tomas Machac
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leandro Riedi's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leandro Riedi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	0%	94.7%

Leandro Riedi - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Riedi in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Machac is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Machac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Machac is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
19.11.22	Leandro Riedi - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
18.11.22	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
17.11.22	Leandro Riedi - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
15.11.22	Leandro Riedi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
14.11.22	Leandro Riedi - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
19.11.22	Tomas Machac - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
18.11.22	Tomas Machac - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
17.11.22	Tomas Machac - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
15.11.22	Tomas Machac - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Tomas Machac - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

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