Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday


	Tomas Machac		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.14	5.5
	1.18	4.33
	1.18	4.6
	1.18	4.7
	1.19	4.7
	1.14	5	Watch
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.17	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)	4.74 ↑ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
80.2%

Alibek Kachmazov
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Machac's performance.

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alibek Kachmazov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomas Machac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alibek Kachmazov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Tomas Machac - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Machac is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kachmazov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Machac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Machac is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
12.11.22	Tomas Machac - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
11.11.22	Lukas Klein - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
09.11.22	Stefano Travaglia - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Ryan Peniston - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
01.11.22	Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
14.11.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Hamad Medjedovic - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
09.11.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Maxime Janvier - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW

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