Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Mumbai, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 20 March 2026, Friday
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Leo Borg |
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Luca Castelnuovo |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leo Borg
54.2% | Luca Castelnuovo
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leo Borg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leo Borg than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leo Borg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castelnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Leo Borg - Luca Castelnuovo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Borg is ranked ATP: 592. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 413.Borg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Castelnuovo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Borg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 13.03.26 | Luca Castelnuovo - Leo Borg | 0:2 |
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