Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Samsun, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Leolia Jeanjean		Mariam Bolkvadze

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	3.00
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.53)	2.93 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leolia Jeanjean
68.2%

Mariam Bolkvadze
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leolia Jeanjean has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leolia Jeanjean's performance.

Mariam Bolkvadze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariam Bolkvadze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leolia Jeanjean than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leolia Jeanjean that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariam Bolkvadze than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariam Bolkvadze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leolia Jeanjean - Mariam Bolkvadze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jeanjean is ranked WTA: 109., and Bolkvadze is ranked WTA: 370..

Jeanjean has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Bolkvadze shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bolkvadze may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jeanjean has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Leolia Jeanjean - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.57%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leolia Jeanjean
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Lois Boisson	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Antonia Ruzic - Leolia Jeanjean	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Melisa Ercan	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Suzan Lamens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW
- Mariam Bolkvadze
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Mariia Tkacheva - Mariam Bolkvadze	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Alya Naz Altinel - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2
WTA US Open
28.08.26	Mariam Bolkvadze - Anouk Koevermans	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Erika Andreeva - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.10.21	Mariam Bolkvadze - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0

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