Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Samsun - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Mariia Tkacheva		Mariam Bolkvadze

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.72
	2.18	1.60	Watch
	2.03	1.71	Watch
	2.03	1.77
	2.06	1.71	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.28)	1.69 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariia Tkacheva
44.8%

Mariam Bolkvadze
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariia Tkacheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Mariam Bolkvadze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Mariia Tkacheva - Mariam Bolkvadze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tkacheva is ranked WTA: 663., and Bolkvadze is ranked WTA: 370..

Tkacheva has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bolkvadze holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tkacheva has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Mariia Tkacheva - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Mariam Bolkvadze - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.38%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariia Tkacheva
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Anastasia Tikhonova - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Elena Milovanovic - Mariia Tkacheva	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Yasmin Ezzat - Mariia Tkacheva	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Sofia Martianova - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW
- Mariam Bolkvadze
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Alya Naz Altinel - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2
WTA US Open
28.08.26	Mariam Bolkvadze - Anouk Koevermans	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Erika Andreeva - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
25.07.26	Darya Kasatkina - Mariam Bolkvadze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.12.23	Mariam Bolkvadze - Mariia Tkacheva	2:0
16.07.22	Mariia Tkacheva - Mariam Bolkvadze	2:0

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