Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Leonardo Malgaroli		Aleksandre Bakshi

	1	2
	7.39	1.04	Watch
	2.88	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (2.88)	1.21 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonardo Malgaroli
19%

Aleksandre Bakshi
81%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonardo Malgaroli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonardo Malgaroli's form might have worsened.

Aleksandre Bakshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aleksandre Bakshi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonardo Malgaroli than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonardo Malgaroli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandre Bakshi than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aleksandre Bakshi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Malgaroli is ranked ATP: 1099. Bakshi is ranked ATP: 650.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Malgaroli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bakshi is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malgaroli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonardo Malgaroli
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Lorenzo Sciahbasi - Leonardo Malgaroli	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Giacomo Crisostomo - Leonardo Malgaroli	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Leonardo Malgaroli	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Pietro Romeo Scomparin	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Enrico Baldisserri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- Aleksandre Bakshi
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Sergey Betov	Betov S. retired ✺
01.10.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Yurii Dzhavakian - Aleksandre Bakshi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 L?WLW

Leonardo Malgaroli - Aleksandre Bakshi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide