Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Leonardo Rossi		Yanis Ghazouani Durand

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.94)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonardo Rossi
41.4%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonardo Rossi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonardo Rossi's form might have worsened.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yanis Ghazouani Durand's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonardo Rossi than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonardo Rossi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yanis Ghazouani Durand, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Leonardo Rossi - Yanis Ghazouani Durand Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ghazouani Durand (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Yanis Ghazouani Durand will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rossi is ranked ATP: 545., and Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 521..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Rossi has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonardo Rossi
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Leonardo Rossi	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Leonardo Rossi - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.26	Leonardo Rossi - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Leonardo Rossi - Mathys Domenc	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Leonardo Rossi - Liam Branger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Emile Hudd	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Leo Raquillet - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Nikola Slavic - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Leonardo Rossi	1:2

Leonardo Rossi - Yanis Ghazouani Durand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide