Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MADRID (SPAIN) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	11:00	SportKlub
Croatia	11:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	11:00	O2 TV Tenis
France	11:00	beIN Sports
Greece	12:00	Nova Sports
Poland	11:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	10:00	Eleven Sports
Serbia	11:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	11:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	12:00	Setanta Sports


	Lesia Tsurenko		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.2	1.68
	2.26	1.65
	2.34	1.68
	2.2	1.67
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.27	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.18)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lesia Tsurenko
42%

Darya Kasatkina
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lesia Tsurenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lesia Tsurenko than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	0%	68.2%

Lesia Tsurenko - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tsurenko will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Tsurenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tsurenko won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lesia Tsurenko
WTA Madrid
28.04.23	Jil Belen Teichmann - Lesia Tsurenko	1:2 ✺
26.04.23	Lesia Tsurenko - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.23	Lesia Tsurenko - Ons Jabeur	0:2 ✺
03.04.23	Lesia Tsurenko - Paula Ormaechea	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.23	Lesia Tsurenko - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Madrid
28.04.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.23	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
08.04.23	Darya Kasatkina - Ons Jabeur	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Madison Keys - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	Bernarda Pera - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Moscow
15.10.18	Lesia Tsurenko - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Wuhan
23.09.18	Lesia Tsurenko - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Birmingham
21.06.18	Lesia Tsurenko - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA Limoges
04.11.14	Darya Kasatkina - Lesia Tsurenko	1:2

Lesia Tsurenko - Darya Kasatkina