Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Leylah Annie Fernandez		Iva Jovic

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.38	1.67
	2.39	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.36	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)	1.63 (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leylah Annie Fernandez
41%

Iva Jovic
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leylah Annie Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Iva Jovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iva Jovic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Iva Jovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fernandez is ranked WTA: 25. Jovic is ranked WTA: 16.

Fernandez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jovic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jovic could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Iva Jovic - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.99%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.26	Elena Rybakina - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Alexandra Eala - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW
- Iva Jovic
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Magda Linette - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Elise Mertens - Iva Jovic	Canceled ✺
10.04.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Iva Jovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Iva Jovic - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 W?LWW

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