Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BLOIS (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 June 2023, Tuesday


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.32	1.58
	2.44	1.58
	2.38	1.53
	2.34	1.55	Watch
	2.33	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.37)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
39.7%

Alex Michelsen
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Dellien Velasco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michelsen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dellien Velasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Michelsen will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Michelsen to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ITF Tournaments
16.06.23	Adrien Gobat - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
13.06.23	Tristan Piombo - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
09.06.23	Max Alcala Gurri - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
06.06.23	Francisco Javier Martinez Baena - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
02.06.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Alex Michelsen - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Alex Michelsen - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
15.06.23	Gabriel Diallo - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Alex Michelsen - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
12.06.23	Laurent Lokoli - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

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