Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Li Tu		Carl Emil Overbeck

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.86	2.02
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.76	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.69)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
53%

Carl Emil Overbeck
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Li Tu - Carl Emil Overbeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tu is ranked ATP: 428. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 489.

In recent matches, Tu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Overbeck is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Li Tu - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.07%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
21.03.26	Ryo Tabata - Li Tu	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.03.26	Hiroki Moriya - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Shinji Hazawa - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Enzo Aguiard - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?WWWL
- Carl Emil Overbeck
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Tai Sach - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Shunsuke Nakagawa - Carl Emil Overbeck	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Hunter Heck	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Emile Hudd	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Ryo Tabata - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Li Tu - Carl Emil Overbeck: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide