Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Li Tu		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.35
	1.62	2.33
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)	2.29 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
59%

Sho Shimabukuro
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Li Tu's performance.

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sho Shimabukuro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Li Tu - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Shimabukuro (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sho Shimabukuro will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tu is ranked ATP: 164. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 188.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tu could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Li Tu - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 53.65%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
15.06.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Li Tu - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.25	Li Tu - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Aziz Dougaz - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Matteo Gigante - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Sho Shimabukuro - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.11.24	Li Tu - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2

Li Tu - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide