Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Matteo Gigante		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.87	Watch
			Watch
	1.88	1.9
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.95)	1.87 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
50.4%

Sho Shimabukuro
49.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Matteo Gigante - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Gigante will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Gigante will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

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Preview

Gigante is ranked ATP: 130. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 192.

Gigante is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shimabukuro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gigante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Ben Shelton - Matteo Gigante	3:0 ✺
28.05.25	Matteo Gigante - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Benjamin Hassan - Matteo Gigante	0:3 ✺
22.05.25	Elmer Moller - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Zachary Svajda - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LWWWW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Sho Shimabukuro - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
29.04.25	Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWW?W

Matteo Gigante - Sho Shimabukuro

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Matteo Gigante - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Preview

Form

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