The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eliot Spizzirri 36.6%
Li Tu 63.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eliot Spizzirri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eliot Spizzirri's form might have worsened.
Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Li Tu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eliot Spizzirri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Li Tu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eliot Spizzirri - Li Tu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 116.Tu is ranked ATP: 168.
In recent matches, Spizzirri has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spizzirri won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Eliot Spizzirri - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Li Tu - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.