Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 The Hague, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Lia Karatancheva		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44
	2.38	1.50	Watch
	2.74	1.46
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.70	1.44
	2.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.38)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lia Karatancheva
36%

Arantxa Rus
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Lia Karatancheva - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 472. Rus is ranked WTA: 178.

Karatancheva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rus could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Chloe Paquet - Lia Karatancheva	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Iva Primorac - Lia Karatancheva	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Maria Sara Popa - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Lia Karatancheva - Nellie Taraba Wallberg	Taraba Wallberg N. Retired ✺
01.07.26	Vittoria Paganetti - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWL?W
- Arantxa Rus
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Sarah Van Emst - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Martina Capurro Taborda - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Arantxa Rus - Veronika Podrez	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
18.05.26	Arantxa Rus - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLL

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