Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Amstelveen, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Maria Sara Popa		Lia Karatancheva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.70
	2.1	1.65
	2.12	1.74
	2.07	1.65	Watch
	2.09	1.71
	2.03	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.28)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sara Popa
44.9%

Lia Karatancheva
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sara Popa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sara Popa than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Sara Popa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lia Karatancheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maria Sara Popa - Lia Karatancheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popa is ranked WTA: 461. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 472.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Karatancheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sara Popa
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Britt Du Pree - Maria Sara Popa	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Lian Tran - Maria Sara Popa	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Clara Burel - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Iva Ivanova - Maria Sara Popa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW
- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Lia Karatancheva - Nellie Taraba Wallberg	Taraba Wallberg N. Retired ✺
01.07.26	Vittoria Paganetti - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Joy De Zeeuw - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Lia Karatancheva - Cagla Buyukakcay	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?WWLL

Maria Sara Popa - Lia Karatancheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide