Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Liam Broady		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.17	1.7
	2.79	1.38	Watch
			Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.79)	1.55 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Broady
39.7%

Francesco Passaro
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Broady has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Broady's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Broady that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Liam Broady - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Broady will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Passaro will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Broady: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Broady (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liam Broady will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Broady (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Broady is ranked ATP: 391. Passaro is ranked ATP: 128.

Broady is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Passaro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Passaro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Broady won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Robin Bertrand - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Liam Broady - Henri Squire	Squire H. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Hamish Stewart - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Liam Broady - Phillip Jordan	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Liam Broady - Ryan James Storrie	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 W?LW?
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Dan Added - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Arthur Bouquier - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Francesco Passaro - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.01.23	Francesco Passaro - Liam Broady	0:2

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