Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Francesco Passaro		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	2.29	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.1)	2.11 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
55.1%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Passaro's performance.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Augustin Tirante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Passaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Augustin Tirante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Francesco Passaro - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 Games - Passaro (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 Games - Tirante (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Tirante (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Francesco Passaro will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francesco Passaro will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Passaro (votes: 8 - 80%). Tirante (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 139. Tirante is ranked ATP: 101.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Passaro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Passaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
25.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Dan Added - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Jaime Faria - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
25.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.07.21	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Francesco Passaro	1:2

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