Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Liam Draxl		Arthur Gea

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.48	1.50	Watch
	2.73	1.52
	2.58	1.44	Watch
	2.60	1.50	Watch
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.50	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.44)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
36.8%

Arthur Gea
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liam Draxl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Gea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Liam Draxl - Arthur Gea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 223. Gea is ranked ATP: 137.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Gea might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Draxl won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Liam Draxl - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Liam Draxl - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Liam Draxl - Keegan Rice	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Liam Draxl - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Liam Draxl - Stephen Slocombe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Keegan Rice - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Fajing Sun - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Arthur Gea - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Arthur Gea - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Arthur Gea - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Arthur Gea - Liam Draxl	2:0

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