Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Arthur Gea		Adam Walton

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.55	Watch
	2.43	1.53
	2.38	1.64
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.35	1.61	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.09)	1.57 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
40.2%

Adam Walton
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Gea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adam Walton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Arthur Gea - Adam Walton Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Walton will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 136. Walton is ranked ATP: 85.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Walton could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Adam Walton - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Arthur Gea - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Arthur Gea - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Raul Brancaccio - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Billy Harris - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Adam Walton - Dino Prizmic	1:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.26	Adam Walton - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Adam Walton - Nick Kyrgios	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW

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