Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Arthur Gea		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	1.73	2.00	Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.79	2.10
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.77	2.07
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.72	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
54.3%

Tristan Schoolkate
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Arthur Gea - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 136. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 149.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.76%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Arthur Gea - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Raul Brancaccio - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Billy Harris - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
15.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	August Holmgren - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Nicolas Mejia - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
24.06.26	Daniel Evans - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Johannus Monday - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

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