Match Info

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Arthur Gea		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.51
	2.44	1.54	Watch
	2.58	1.53	Watch
	2.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
37.1%

Jakub Mensik
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 56., and Mensik is ranked ATP: 15..

Gea is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Mensik has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gea may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Mensik is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.62%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Ben Shelton - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Arthur Gea - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Arthur Gea - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
02.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
03.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

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