Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Arthur Cazaux		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.43	2.88
	1.34	3.00	Watch
	1.37	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.42)	3.02 ↑ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
68.9%

Liam Draxl
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arthur Cazaux - Liam Draxl Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cazaux (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Arthur Cazaux will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cazaux is ranked ATP: 70. Draxl is ranked ATP: 119.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Draxl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cazaux is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cazaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Christopher OConnell - Liam Draxl	O'Connell C. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Liam Draxl - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Liam Draxl - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

Boys Singles French Open
02.06.19	Liam Draxl - Arthur Cazaux	1:2

Arthur Cazaux - Liam Draxl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide