Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Valentin Vacherot		Liam Draxl

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.72	2.16
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	2.06	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.06)	2 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
52.9%

Liam Draxl
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Vacherot's performance.

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liam Draxl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Vacherot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liam Draxl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Draxl will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Draxl (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 202. Draxl is ranked ATP: 119.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vacherot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.93%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Valentin Vacherot - Robin Bertrand	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Menelaos Efstathiou - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Stylianos Christodoulou - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL
- Liam Draxl
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Liam Draxl - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Liam Draxl - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
16.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Liam Draxl - Daniel Cukierman	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWL?

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