Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Liam Draxl		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.5	1.47
	2.6	1.52
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.81	1.4	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (1.83)	1.45 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
35.5%

Mark Lajal
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liam Draxl's form might have worsened.

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mark Lajal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liam Draxl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mark Lajal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Liam Draxl - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lajal will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 272. Lajal is ranked ATP: 216.

Draxl is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lajal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Draxl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lajal will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
19.10.24	Govind Nanda - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	Bernard Tomic - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Louis Wessels - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.10.24	Patrick Maloney - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Antwerp
14.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Miguel Damas - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.10.24	Quentin Halys - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Mark Lajal - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Mark Lajal - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Liam Draxl - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide