Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 POREC (CROATIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday


	Lilian Marmousez		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.15	1.63
	2.16	1.64
	2.16	1.65
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.68	Watch
	2.08	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)	1.64 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilian Marmousez
43.6%

Federico Arnaboldi
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilian Marmousez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lilian Marmousez's form might have worsened.

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Arnaboldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Marmousez is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaboldi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaboldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
05.03.24	Lilian Marmousez - Luigi Sorrentino	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Diego Fernandez Flores - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
23.02.24	Lilian Marmousez - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
22.02.24	Giles Hussey - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
21.02.24	Lilian Marmousez - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
06.03.24	Alen Bill - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
23.01.24	Mert Alkaya - Federico Arnaboldi	Alkaya M. retired ✺
19.01.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
18.01.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Calin Manda	2:0 ✺
17.01.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Aleksandr Braynin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?LWW

Lilian Marmousez - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide