Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Filip Cristian Jianu

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.17	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	2.17	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.89)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
42.8%

Filip Cristian Jianu
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.

Filip Cristian Jianu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filip Cristian Jianu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Cristian Jianu than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Jianu will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaboldi: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 220. Jianu is ranked ATP: 241.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Arnaboldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaboldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Blockx	Canceled ✺
10.02.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
03.02.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WL?LL
- Filip Cristian Jianu
ATP Challenger
24.03.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Borna Coric - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Dalibor Svrcina	Svrcina D. retired ✺
18.03.25	Mirza Basic - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.01.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2

Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide