Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Lilian Marmousez		Soon Woo Kwon

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.8	1.22	Watch
	4.29	1.24
	3.84	1.23	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.74	1.23	Watch
	3.8	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.49)	1.23 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilian Marmousez
24.1%

Soon Woo Kwon
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilian Marmousez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lilian Marmousez's form might have worsened.

Soon Woo Kwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Soon Woo Kwon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Soon Woo Kwon than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Soon Woo Kwon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lilian Marmousez - Soon Woo Kwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Marmousez will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kwon will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kwon: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Marmousez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kwon (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marmousez is ranked ATP: 314. Kwon is ranked ATP: 486.

Marmousez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kwon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Marmousez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kwon is considered a favorite.

We predict that Kwon will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
22.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Lilian Marmousez - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Lilian Marmousez - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Andrej Martin - Lilian Marmousez	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLW
- Soon Woo Kwon
ATP Challenger
22.01.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Corentin Denolly - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Lilian Marmousez - Soon Woo Kwon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide