Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2, Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Lilli Tagger		Maria Sakkari

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.18	1.65
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.43	1.61
	2.37	1.54	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.46	1.55	Watch
	2.52	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.52)	1.58 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilli Tagger
40%

Maria Sakkari
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilli Tagger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lilli Tagger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Sakkari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Lilli Tagger - Maria Sakkari Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tagger will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sakkari will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakkari: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakkari (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tagger is ranked WTA: 92. Sakkari is ranked WTA: 47.

Tagger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sakkari is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sakkari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sakkari might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tagger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilli Tagger
WTA Roma
05.05.26	Lilli Tagger - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Lilli Tagger - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Tereza Valentova - Lilli Tagger	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Amandine Monnot - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW
- Maria Sakkari
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Janice Tjen - Maria Sakkari	Canceled ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Maria Sakkari - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Maria Sakkari - Alycia Parks	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Julia Grabher - Maria Sakkari	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 L?LL?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Maria Sakkari - Lilli Tagger	2:0

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